Wednesday, January 14, 2009

German Growth Slumped in 2008 as Recession Set In (Update2)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&sid=an4RvXneBiUs&refer=economy

Companies are scaling back production and cutting jobs as global economic expansion slows and demand for German exports wanes. Bundesbank President Axel Weber last week indicated the economy may contract more this year than the bank’s 0.8 percent forecast. A decline of more than 0.9 percent would be Germany’s worst performance since records began after World War II.

“There is just no sign of the economic decline bottoming out,” said Kenneth Broux, an economist at Lloyds TSB Group Plc. in London, who expects the German economy to shrink 2.1 percent this year. “The first and second quarter will be awful. If we are very lucky, we may see a slight stabilization in the third or the fourth quarter.”

The European Central Bank has cut its key interest rate by a total of 175 basis points to 2.5 percent since early October as Europe’s economic slump deepened. Investors bet it will lower borrowing costs again tomorrow by at least 50 points, Eonia forward contracts indicate, even as some policy makers signal they’d rather wait.

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